Table of datasets currently in use by EcoSISTEM.jl
Preliminary list of parameters/datasets.
Name of parameter/ dataset | Description | Value | Source | Other info (e.g. stability) |
---|---|---|---|---|
p_s | Probability of developing symptoms | 0.96 | (From Thibaud's original model) | |
p_h | Probability of hospitalisation | 0.2 | Guess | |
cfr_home | Case fatality ratio (at home) | 0.1 | Guess | |
cfr_hospital | Case fatality ratio (at hospital) | 0.1 | Guess | |
T_lat | Latent period | 5 days | (From Thibaud's original model) | |
T_asym | Asymptomatic period | 3 days | (From Thibaud's original model) | |
T_sym | Symptomatic period | 5 days | (From Thibaud's original model) | |
T_hosp | Hospitalisation period | 5 days | (From Thibaud's original model) | |
T_rec | Recovery period | 11 days | (From Thibaud's original model) | |
mu_1 | Probability of becoming Asymptomatic | 1/T_lat | ||
mu_2 | Probability of becoming Symptomatic | ps * 1/Tasym | ||
hospitalisation | Probability of becoming Hospitalised | ph * 1/Tsym | ||
sigma_1 | Probability of Recovery from Asymptomatic | (1 - ps) * 1/Tasym | ||
sigma_2 | Probability of Recovery from Symptomatic | (1 - ph)*(1 - cfrhome)*1/T_rec | ||
sigma_hospital | Probability of Recovery from Hospital | (1 - cfrhosp) * 1/Thosp | ||
death_home | Probability of Death at home | cfrhome * 2/Thosp | ||
death_hospital | Probability of Death at hospital | cfrhosp * 1/Thosp | ||
ScotlandDensity2011 | Scottish population density at 1km grid | UK census 2011 - A Reeves 'Covid19-ScottishCensusData' repo | ||
dispersal_dist | Average dispersal distance of virus per disease category | 2.0km per infectious disease category | Guess | Varies depending on grid size |
mean_pref | Mean temperature preference of virus | 298K | Guess | Currently tuned to fit environment perfectly |
var_pref | Temperature niche width of virus | 0.1K | Guess | Currently tuned to fit environment perfectly |
birth | Probability of giving birth per individual | 1.3e-4/day (20-40 year olds), 0 otherwise | Guess | |
death | Probability of giving natural mortality per individual | 2.7e-5/day | Guess | |
virusgrowthasymp | Rate of generating virus per asymptomatic individual | 0.1/day | Guess | |
virusgrowthsymp | Rate of generating virus per symptomatic individual | 0.1/day | Guess | |
beta_force | Force of infection | 10.0/day | Guess | |
beta_env | Environmental transmission | 10.0/day | Guess |